While I was sitting here (pretending to be) trying to come up with what I would blog about next, I decided to watch the LOST that I missed last night. Afterwards, I realized I could not have named a single commercial that I saw, thanks to my DVR. Everyone wonders, but I've never heard a real answer: to what degree has the DVR killed the commercial?
The first article I found on the topic confirmed what I already knew: A study by the DVR Research Institute named "Advertising in the DVR Age" said 75% of advertising executives don't consider themselves to have relevant information about how DVRs are impacting advertising strategies.
The study continued, however, to give some interesting statistics:
1. By the end of 2011, DVRed TV will account for 46% of total TV watching time.
2. Between then and 2008, DVR use will have doubled.
3. People are estimated to skip 70% of the ads when DVRing.
4. By 2011, 16% of all commercials are expected to be skipped.
And the most telling:
5. With advertising expenditures estimated at $85 billion by the end of 2011, fastforwarded commercials result in an opportunity lost of about $14 billion.
Imagine what that lost $14 billion could do if it was spent on something else. Rather than be wasted, that cash could have been invested or spent.
So how do I think this money could go to better use?
1. Put the commercial first in the break. At least when I DVR, I don't start skipping until the commercials begin. I never see the ones in the middle of the commercial breaks.
2. Leave the brand on the screen for as long as possible. The more frames with the name the better, as viewers always see at least a few seconds of screenshots. This may at least remind the viewer that the brand exists and a few seconds of advertising is more effective than none.
3. Make the commercial interesting and worth rewinding. If I see a favorite celebrity or something that seems funny happen on a commercial, I'll definitely rewind to watch. This is good news for viewers and a interesting challenge for advertising agencies, as the typical mom-with-dish-detergent commercials will no longer be effective.
4. Advertise during a time of the day or during shows with with less DVRing. I always record my shows, but I know my mom does not bother recording The View. If companies want to reach a certain audience, catch them at their calmest.
In this economic downturn... ad agencies better make their client's money effective.
-Alex Harper